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Estimated Loan Deficiency Payment, Derived from the A-Index of World Cotton Prices (Scroll Down for More Discussion)

Graph of estimated LDP

Discussion

This graph world prices (the green line labeled "A" Index) compared to U.S. prices (the blue line labeled "Nearby Futures. It also shows the Adjusted World Price or AWP (red line) which is simply the A-Index adjusted for transportation and quality differentials. That is, the Adjusted World Price reflects the willingness to pay of foreign buyers of U.S. cotton. When the Adjusted World Price is below the 52-cent loan rate, there is a positive loan deficiency payment (LDP). The vertical height of the gray area represents the value of the LDP.

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The Cotton Marketing Planner
http://agecon2.tamu.edu/people/faculty/robinson-john/

Dr. John R. C. Robinson
Associate Professor
Extension Economist-Cotton Marketing
Department of Agricultural Economics
Texas A&M University
2124 TAMU
College Station, TX 77843-2124
Phone: (979) 845-8011
Fax: (979) 845-4906
Email: jrcr@tamu.edu