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Cotton Futures Moving in Opposition to the U.S. Dollar Index (Scroll Down for More Discussion)

Graph of estimated LDP

Discussion

This graph compares the pattern of nearby New York cotton prices (in red) and an index of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. Since 2007, the pattern for cotton (and other commodity prices, not shown) is to move in the opposite direction of the U.S. dollar index. This is being driven by speculative money flowing into and out of commodities as influenced by either speculative reward (as in 2007-2008) or current fears of inflation.

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The Cotton Marketing Planner
http://agecon2.tamu.edu/people/faculty/robinson-john/

Dr. John R. C. Robinson
Associate Professor
Extension Economist-Cotton Marketing
Department of Agricultural Economics
Texas A&M University
2124 TAMU
College Station, TX 77843-2124
Phone: (979) 845-8011
Fax: (979) 845-4906
Email: jrcr@tamu.edu